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Objective: To assess the accuracy of SFSR and OESIL score at predicting short-term serious outcome in Maharaj Nakorn Chiang Mai Hospital.
Material and Method: In a prospective descriptive analysis study, adult patients presenting with syncope or near syncope between October 1, 2009 and April 24, 2010 were enrolled. All patients were followed-up at 7-day and 1-month. Statistical analysis included accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, and likelihood ratios.
Results: One hundred seventy eight patients were enrolled in the present study. Fifty-three patients had a short-term serious outcome on follow-up. SFSR had 74.7% accuracy, 90.6% sensitivity, 68% specificity, 54.5% PPV, 94.4% NPV, likelihood ratio positive (LR+) of 2.8, and likelihood ratio negative (LR-) of 0.1, whereas OESIL score had 80.9% accuracy, 79.4% sensitivity, 81.6% specificity, 64.6% PPV, 90.3% NPV, LR+ of 4.3, and LR- of 0.2.
Conclusion: Both scores have good accuracy and sensitivity, but they should not be used as the only device in patient disposition. However, both scores showed a low false negative rate. Therefore, they may help in helping physician discharge low-risk patients.
Keywords: Syncope, San Francisco Syncope Rule, OESIL risk score